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Using Economic Scenarios to Support Economic and Credit Risk Analysis
by Mr Steven Cochrane


Mr Steven Cochrane
Chief APAC Economist, Economic Solutions Group, Moody's Analytics

DATE 27 May 2019, Monday
VENUE SIS Seminar Rm 2-4,
Level 2,
School of Information Systems
80 Stamford Road, Singapore 178902
5.00pm to 6.00pm
(Presentation and Q&A by Mr Steven Cochrane)


This presentation will review methods of creating economic forecasts and appropriate alternative scenarios, and how they can be applied to credit risk models in support of stress testing for capital adequacy, to meeting new accounting standards under IFRS9 for measures such as probability of default and loss given default, and for general business planning purposes.


About the Speaker

Steven G. Cochrane, PhD, is Chief APAC Economist with Moody’s Analytics. He leads the Asia economic analysis and forecasting activities of the Moody’s Analytics research team, as well as the continual expansion of the company’s international, national and subnational forecast models. In addition, Steve directs consulting projects for clients to help them understand the effect of regional economic developments on their business under baseline forecasts and alternative scenarios. Steve’s expertise lies in providing clear insights into an area’s or region’s strengths, weaknesses and comparative advantages, relative to macro or global economic trends.

A highly-regarded speaker, Dr. Cochrane has provided economic insights at hundreds of engagements over the past 20 years and has been featured on Wall Street Radio, the PBS News Hour, C-SPAN and CNBC. Through his research and presentations, Steve dissects how various components of the macro and regional economies shape patterns of growth. His extensive expertise on regional U.S. economic issues makes also him a popular speaker at client conferences and executive briefings.

Steve holds a PhD from the University of Pennsylvania and is a Penn Institute for Urban Research Scholar. He also holds master's degree from the University of Colorado at Denver and a bachelor's degree from the University of California at Davis. Dr. Cochrane is based out of Moody’s Analytics Singapore office.

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